文章(zhang)來源:中國輕工業(ye)聯合會 發布(bu)時間:2020-04-11
截止2018年(nian)底,中(zhong)國(guo)輕工業景氣度指(zhi)數發(fa)布(bu)已經歷了八(ba)個(ge)年(nian)頭而(er)中(zhong)國(guo)輕工消(xiao)費品景氣度指(zhi)數自(zi)2016年(nian)開(kai)始發(fa)布(bu)也走到了第三個(ge)年(nian)頭。
中國(guo)輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)景氣度指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)的(de)(de)發布,是(shi)在國(guo)務院馬凱副(fu)總(zong)理2015年(nian)12月(yue)24日在聽取(qu)輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)情況匯報時,對(dui)(dui)輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)重新劃分(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)六(liu)大(da)類(lei)別給(gei)予了充(chong)分(fen)(fen)肯(ken)定。并(bing)(bing)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)示說(shuo):“這個分(fen)(fen)類(lei)好。經濟(ji)運行(xing)(xing)分(fen)(fen)析不能只(zhi)搞總(zong)量分(fen)(fen)析,要做(zuo)結構化(hua)分(fen)(fen)析。”的(de)(de)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)引下,我們按輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)分(fen)(fen)類(lei)體(ti)(ti)系現行(xing)(xing)的(de)(de)國(guo)民經濟(ji)標準分(fen)(fen)類(lei)體(ti)(ti)系重新整(zheng)合,將輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)劃分(fen)(fen)為(wei)六(liu)大(da)類(lei)別即快速消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)、耐用(yong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)、日用(yong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)、文體(ti)(ti)休閑(xian)用(yong)品(pin)(pin)(pin)、原料(liao)產品(pin)(pin)(pin)、輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)機械(xie)裝備。根據(ju)輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)六(liu)大(da)類(lei)別,將快速消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)、耐用(yong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)、日用(yong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)和(he)文體(ti)(ti)休閑(xian)用(yong)品(pin)(pin)(pin)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)加權綜(zong)合,構建中國(guo)輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)景氣指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)標體(ti)(ti)系。輕(qing)(qing)(qing)工(gong)(gong)消(xiao)費(fei)(fei)(fei)品(pin)(pin)(pin)指(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)體(ti)(ti)系力(li)求從行(xing)(xing)業(ye)景氣變動方向上(shang)對(dui)(dui)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)走(zou)勢進(jin)行(xing)(xing)結構化(hua)的(de)(de)分(fen)(fen)析,并(bing)(bing)對(dui)(dui)行(xing)(xing)業(ye)運行(xing)(xing)狀況做(zuo)出預(yu)警,為(wei)政府、行(xing)(xing)業(ye)、企業(ye)和(he)社會大(da)眾的(de)(de)決策提供(gong)參考。
如(ru)果(guo)說中國(guo)輕(qing)工業景(jing)氣度(du)(du)指數發布是(shi)對(dui)輕(qing)工行業總量的分(fen)析與研(yan)究, 而中國(guo)輕(qing)工消費品景(jing)氣度(du)(du)指數發布則是(shi)對(dui)輕(qing)工行業結構化的分(fen)析與探(tan)索。2018年(nian)通過該項目的實施(shi),彌補了以前年(nian)度(du)(du)只做行業總量分(fen)析而缺少結構化分(fen)析的不(bu)足(zu)。具體(ti)工作(zuo)如(ru)下:
1、指數系統升級及遷移工作
由于指(zhi)數系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)作為預警系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)的(de)一部分,自上(shang)線(xian)至今(jin)已近(jin)8年(nian)時(shi)(shi)間,不(bu)僅技術(shu)架構過時(shi)(shi),在(zai)用戶(hu)體驗上(shang)也(ye)與當今(jin)主流設計有一定差距,而且(qie)由于系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)已經超出維護和保(bao)修(xiu)期限(xian),系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)原實(shi)施單(dan)位也(ye)無法保(bao)證及時(shi)(shi)的(de)技術(shu)支持(chi)和服(fu)務(wu)響應。隨(sui)著指(zhi)數系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)基礎設施的(de)更新升級,為滿足指(zhi)數系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)與數據平臺及其(qi)他(ta)業務(wu)系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)的(de)互聯(lian)互通要求,同時(shi)(shi)提升系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)的(de)用戶(hu)體驗和技術(shu)水平,需要對(dui)指(zhi)數系(xi)(xi)統(tong)(tong)遷移到新的(de)生產環境并進行必要的(de)修(xiu)改和升級。
遷移工作主(zhu)要包括系統(tong)的(de)(de)(de)重構和(he)(he)(he)(he)集(ji)(ji)成(cheng),為(wei)(wei)適應(ying)(ying)(ying)互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)互(hu)(hu)通(tong)(tong)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)和(he)(he)(he)(he)應(ying)(ying)(ying)用的(de)(de)(de)集(ji)(ji)成(cheng)體系,指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)系統(tong)拆分(fen)為(wei)(wei)內(nei)部數(shu)(shu)據(ju)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)和(he)(he)(he)(he)外部應(ying)(ying)(ying)用服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)兩部分(fen),其中(zhong)(zhong)內(nei)部數(shu)(shu)據(ju)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)是將指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)相關統(tong)計數(shu)(shu)據(ju)納入統(tong)一的(de)(de)(de)互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)互(hu)(hu)通(tong)(tong)平臺的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)資(zi)(zi)源管理(li)和(he)(he)(he)(he)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)體系中(zhong)(zhong),不僅實現數(shu)(shu)據(ju)的(de)(de)(de)集(ji)(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)管理(li)和(he)(he)(he)(he)統(tong)一服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu),也為(wei)(wei)多來源、多維度數(shu)(shu)據(ju)資(zi)(zi)源的(de)(de)(de)關聯(lian)(lian)分(fen)析和(he)(he)(he)(he)應(ying)(ying)(ying)用提(ti)供基礎數(shu)(shu)據(ju)支持(chi)。內(nei)部數(shu)(shu)據(ju)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)為(wei)(wei)外部應(ying)(ying)(ying)用服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)提(ti)供數(shu)(shu)據(ju)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)接(jie)口(kou)。外部數(shu)(shu)據(ju)應(ying)(ying)(ying)用依(yi)托中(zhong)(zhong)輕網(wang)CMS信息發布體系,在會員(yuan)中(zhong)(zhong)心系統(tong)中(zhong)(zhong)以新的(de)(de)(de)開發技術和(he)(he)(he)(he)用戶(hu)交互(hu)(hu)界面進行重新設計和(he)(he)(he)(he)實現,從(cong)而把指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)系統(tong)的(de)(de)(de)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)范圍擴大,也在數(shu)(shu)據(ju)服(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)(wu)(wu)的(de)(de)(de)用戶(hu)端做到了(le)真正的(de)(de)(de)互(hu)(hu)聯(lian)(lian)互(hu)(hu)通(tong)(tong)。

系統部署示意圖
系統新加服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)器(qi)的(de)(de)生產(chan)環境部署如上圖所(suo)示,主要完成外部應(ying)用服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)相關業務(wu)(wu)運行支撐,內部數據服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)的(de)(de)數據管理及數據服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)接口的(de)(de)實現和支撐利用互聯互通平臺的(de)(de)相關數據服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)體系實現。
二、數據源信息采集工作(zuo)
以中國(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)行(xing)業數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)庫(ku)、輕工(gong)(gong)百(bai)強直(zhi)(zhi)報(bao)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)庫(ku)、輕工(gong)(gong)重點(dian)行(xing)業企(qi)業直(zhi)(zhi)報(bao)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)庫(ku)為基(ji)礎,并利用(yong)信息技術工(gong)(gong)具(ju)定(ding)期采集國(guo)家統計(ji)(ji)局網站、海(hai)關總署網站數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)、ITC網站等公網數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)等作為補(bu)充,同時通(tong)過合作及資源共享(xiang)的(de)模(mo)式,不斷補(bu)充數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)源指標,通(tong)過對行(xing)業統計(ji)(ji)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)、企(qi)業統計(ji)(ji)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)、海(hai)關貿(mao)易數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)的(de)不同粒(li)度的(de)開發,形成(cheng)適合于輕工(gong)(gong)消費品(pin)景氣度指數(shu)(shu)的(de)數(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)倉庫(ku)模(mo)型。
三、指數發布工作
通過該項(xiang)目的(de)(de)實施,中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)景氣(qi)度(du)(du)(du)指數以(yi)及(ji)(ji)中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)消(xiao)費品(pin)(pin)景氣(qi)度(du)(du)(du)指數的(de)(de)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)工(gong)(gong)(gong)作是依(yi)托輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)經濟運行(xing)監測(ce)預(yu)警平臺(tai)(tai)(tai)以(yi)及(ji)(ji)互聯互通平臺(tai)(tai)(tai),按(an)月(yue)度(du)(du)(du)以(yi)網(wang)絡(luo)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)、移動(dong)(dong)客(ke)戶端(duan)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(月(yue)度(du)(du)(du)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu))、紙制報(bao)告發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(季度(du)(du)(du)及(ji)(ji)年度(du)(du)(du))和新聞發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)會(hui)(hui)(hui)(不(bu)定期)以(yi)及(ji)(ji)中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)網(wang)、中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)網(wang)官方微博、微信和中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)百強(qiang)企業(ye)(ye)(ye)內部(bu)(bu)通訊系統(tong)等(deng)多種(zhong)形式進行(xing)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)。同(tong)時不(bu)定期地為國(guo)(guo)(guo)務(wu)院參事室(shi)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)務(wu)院研(yan)究室(shi)、發(fa)(fa)(fa)改(gai)委、工(gong)(gong)(gong)信部(bu)(bu)、商(shang)務(wu)部(bu)(bu)、財政部(bu)(bu)、國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)統(tong)計局(ju)、人民(min)銀行(xing)、銀監會(hui)(hui)(hui)等(deng)相關(guan)司局(ju),以(yi)及(ji)(ji)中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)聯合(he)會(hui)(hui)(hui)各級理事單位發(fa)(fa)(fa)送行(xing)業(ye)(ye)(ye)景氣(qi)指數以(yi)及(ji)(ji)消(xiao)費品(pin)(pin)景氣(qi)指數的(de)(de)預(yu)報(bao)。另外,在發(fa)(fa)(fa)改(gai)委、工(gong)(gong)(gong)信部(bu)(bu)、商(shang)務(wu)部(bu)(bu)、銀監會(hui)(hui)(hui)等(deng)部(bu)(bu)門(men)召開月(yue)度(du)(du)(du)經濟運行(xing)座談會(hui)(hui)(hui)上提供輕工(gong)(gong)(gong)消(xiao)費品(pin)(pin)景氣(qi)度(du)(du)(du)指數以(yi)及(ji)(ji)經濟運行(xing)情況(kuang)(kuang)紙質(zhi)報(bao)告。消(xiao)費品(pin)(pin)景氣(qi)度(du)(du)(du)指數的(de)(de)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)周期與(yu)系統(tong)平臺(tai)(tai)(tai)的(de)(de)數據(ju)更新依(yi)照(zhao)國(guo)(guo)(guo)家(jia)統(tong)計局(ju)和海關(guan)總(zong)署(shu)的(de)(de)數據(ju)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)周期同(tong)步,并同(tong)時做(zuo)動(dong)(dong)態實時監測(ce)和糾偏(pian)。發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)頻次為按(an)月(yue)發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu),每月(yue)下(xia)旬對外發(fa)(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)(bu)上月(yue)景氣(qi)指數情況(kuang)(kuang)。具體情況(kuang)(kuang)如下(xia)圖(tu):








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中國輕工業信息中心
2018年12月19日
【責任編輯:李瑛】
